{"id":498,"date":"2026-04-29T13:36:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T13:36:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/?p=498"},"modified":"2026-04-29T13:36:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T13:36:38","slug":"spick-media-puducherry-exit-poll-tvk-emerges-as-a-decisive-third-force","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/2026\/04\/29\/spick-media-puducherry-exit-poll-tvk-emerges-as-a-decisive-third-force\/","title":{"rendered":"Spick Media Puducherry Exit Poll: TVK+ Emerges as a Decisive Third Force!"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"498\" class=\"elementor elementor-498\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-49c55cfe elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"49c55cfe\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7ddefa63\" data-id=\"7ddefa63\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4ce3e611 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4ce3e611\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span data-path-to-node=\"3,2\"><span class=\"citation-93\">Spick Media Network officially releases its comprehensive exit poll for the <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"3,2\" data-index-in-node=\"76\"><span class=\"citation-93\">2026 Puducherry Assembly Elections<\/span><\/b><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"3,4\">. <\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"3,6\"><span class=\"citation-92\">Conducted between <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"3,6\" data-index-in-node=\"18\"><span class=\"citation-92\">April 14 and April 20, 2026<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-92\">, our team surveyed <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"3,6\" data-index-in-node=\"65\"><span class=\"citation-92\">9,651 respondents<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-92\"> across the Union Territory to capture the pulse of the people<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"3,8\">.<\/span>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"4\"><b data-path-to-node=\"4\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">The Big Picture: A Dead Heat<\/b><\/h3>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c8510772ed6ee96c-46\" data-path-to-node=\"5\"><span data-path-to-node=\"3,1\"><span class=\"citation-152\">Our data indicates a highly competitive election with <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"3,1\" data-index-in-node=\"54\"><span class=\"citation-152\">no clear dominant wave<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-152\"> across Puducherry<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"3,3\">. <\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"3,5\"><span class=\"citation-151\">While the <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"3,5\" data-index-in-node=\"10\"><span class=\"citation-151\">SPA<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-151\"> holds a marginal lead in total vote share, the <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"3,5\" data-index-in-node=\"61\"><span class=\"citation-151\">NDA<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-151\"> demonstrates superior vote distribution efficiency, giving it a competitive edge in seat conversion<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"3,7\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"4\"><b data-path-to-node=\"4\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Projected Seat Tallies:<\/b><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-77\" data-path-to-node=\"5,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"5,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"5,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-150\">NDA (AINRC + BJP + AIADMK + LJK):<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-150\"> 15 Seats, with a projected range of 15-17<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"5,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-78\" data-path-to-node=\"5,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"5,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"5,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-149\">SPA (Congress + DMK + VCK):<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-149\"> 13 Seats, with a projected range of 13-15<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"5,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-79\" data-path-to-node=\"5,2,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"5,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"5,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-148\">TVK+:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-148\"> 1 Seat, with a projected range of 00-01<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"5,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-80\" data-path-to-node=\"5,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"5,3,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"5,3,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-147\">Toss-up:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-147\"> 1 seat remains too close to call<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"5,3,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"7\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Vote Share Breakdown<\/b><\/h3>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-81\" data-path-to-node=\"8\"><span data-path-to-node=\"8,1\"><span class=\"citation-146\">The electorate is nearly split between the two major alliances, while a new third force has emerged to disrupt traditional voting patterns<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"8,3\">.<\/span><\/p>\n\n<div class=\"source-inline-chip-container ng-star-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-82\" style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"9,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"9,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"9,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-145\">SPA (Congress+):<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-145\"> 37.54%<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"9,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-83\" style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"9,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"9,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"9,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-144\">NDA (AINRC+):<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-144\"> 37.09%<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"9,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-84\" style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"9,2,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"9,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"9,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-143\">TVK+:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-143\"> 21.15%<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"9,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-85\" style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"9,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"9,3,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"9,3,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-142\">Others:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-142\"> 4.22%<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"9,3,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"11\"><b data-path-to-node=\"11\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Voter Behavior &amp; Critical Insights<\/b><\/h3>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-86\" data-path-to-node=\"12,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"12,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-141\">The Deciding Block:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-141\"> Middle-aged voters between 36 and 50 years old form the largest deciding block at 45%<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"12,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-87\" data-path-to-node=\"12,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"12,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-140\">The TVK+ Factor:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-140\"> This alliance has emerged as a decisive third force, particularly in urban constituencies and among the youth<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"12,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-88\" data-path-to-node=\"12,2,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"12,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-139\">Demographic Leans:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-139\"> Women and welfare beneficiaries show a lean toward the NDA, which also maintains stronger consolidation in semi-urban and rural belts<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"12,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p id=\"p-rc_c91a54a741ccee49-89\" data-path-to-node=\"12,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"12,3,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12,3,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-138\">High Volatility Zones:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-138\"> We observed significant volatility and intense competition in seats like Ariankuppam, Lawspet, Oulgaret, Nellithope, and Indira Nagar<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"12,3,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"15,1\"><span class=\"citation-137\">Puducherry is headed toward a photo-finish election where a shift of just <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"15,1\" data-index-in-node=\"74\"><span class=\"citation-137\">1-2% in vote share<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-137\"> could change the entire government<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"15,3\">. <\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"15,5\"><span class=\"citation-136\">With a margin of error of <strong>\u00b12%,<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"citation-136\">\u00a0the final outcome will likely depend on local candidate strength and the last-mile swing of undecided voters<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"15,7\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"17,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"17,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-135\">Spick Media Network Team:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-135\"> Vasanth, Jagan, Senthil Kumar, Krishnamurthy, Pooja, Lakshmi, Anbalagan, Yuvaraj, Imthiyas, Raghavendran, and V. Priyanka<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"17,2\">.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c0e71ee elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c0e71ee\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-432ff16\" data-id=\"432ff16\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ff515cf elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"ff515cf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/pmafym8hqr65381g5u46q\/Puducherry-Exit-Poll.pdf?rlkey=zm6h78ia4voad3novne2d5tph&#038;st=vfq3ale4&#038;dl=0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">For Detailed Report<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Spick Media Network officially releases its comprehensive exit poll for the 2026 Puducherry Assembly Elections. Conducted between April<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":503,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[34,72,6,5,35,37,11,74,80,12,40,36,75,59,73,62],"class_list":["post-498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-survey-reports","tag-aiadmk","tag-amit-shah","tag-bjp","tag-congress","tag-dmk","tag-naam-tamilar-katchi","tag-narendra-modi","tag-ntk","tag-puducherry","tag-rahul-gandhi","tag-spick-media","tag-tamilaga-vettri-kazhagam","tag-thalapathy-vijay","tag-tvk","tag-tvkvijay","tag-vijay"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll.jpg",1536,1024,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll-768x512.jpg",640,427,true],"large":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll-1024x683.jpg",640,427,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll.jpg",1536,1024,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll.jpg",1536,1024,false],"morenews-large":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll-825x575.jpg",825,575,true],"morenews-medium":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/PY-Exit-Poll-590x410.jpg",590,410,true]},"author_info":{"display_name":"Spick Media","author_link":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/author\/admin\/"},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/category\/survey-reports\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Survey Reports<\/a>","tag_info":"Survey Reports","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/498","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=498"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/498\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":504,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/498\/revisions\/504"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/503"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}