{"id":488,"date":"2026-04-29T12:28:43","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T12:28:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/?p=488"},"modified":"2026-04-29T12:28:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T12:28:43","slug":"spick-media-idam-valam-exit-poll-aiadmk-alliance-ahead-dmk-close-behind-tvk-emerges-as-key-disruptor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/2026\/04\/29\/spick-media-idam-valam-exit-poll-aiadmk-alliance-ahead-dmk-close-behind-tvk-emerges-as-key-disruptor\/","title":{"rendered":"SPICK MEDIA &#8211; IDAM VALAM EXIT POLL | AIADMK ALLIANCE AHEAD, DMK CLOSE BEHIND, TVK EMERGES AS KEY DISRUPTOR"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"488\" class=\"elementor elementor-488\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-61a33160 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"61a33160\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-61683ef1\" data-id=\"61683ef1\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7a9cbdf elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7a9cbdf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span data-path-to-node=\"3,2\"><span class=\"citation-53\">The <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"3,2\" data-index-in-node=\"4\"><span class=\"citation-53\">&#8220;Fate of Tamil Nadu Exit Polls&#8221;<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-53\"> (FOTN) has been officially concluded, and we are ready to reveal the projected outcomes for the state&#8217;s highly anticipated elections<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"3,4\">.<\/span><\/p><p><span data-path-to-node=\"4,1\"><span class=\"citation-52\">Designed and analyzed by the Spick Media Network headquartered in Chennai, this comprehensive survey was conducted jointly with the Idam Valam team<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"4,3\">. <\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"4,5\"><span class=\"citation-51\">We deployed our extensive network of on-ground researchers between April 23, 2026, and April 27, 2026, to capture the pulse of the electorate<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"4,7\">.<\/span><\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"5\"><b data-path-to-node=\"5\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Survey Scope &amp; Methodology<\/b><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"6,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"6,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-50\">Total Respondents:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-50\"> 71,447 individuals<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"6,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"6,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"6,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-49\">Coverage:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-49\"> Across all constituencies in Tamil Nadu<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"6,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"6,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"6,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-48\">Data Points:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-48\"> Constituency-wise breakdown of vote shares and seat projections<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"6,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"7\">Here is the finalized tally and breakdown across the major regions of Tamil Nadu:<\/p><h2 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"8\"><b data-path-to-node=\"8\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Zone-Wise Final Tally Highlights<\/b><\/h2><h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"9\"><b data-path-to-node=\"9\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">South Zone<\/b><\/h3><p data-path-to-node=\"10\">The South Zone presents a highly competitive landscape with a significant number of seats still hanging in the balance.<\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"11,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"11,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"11,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-47\">AIADMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-47\">: Leading with 20 seats and a 36.32% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"11,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"11,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"11,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"11,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-46\">DMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-46\">: Closely following with 17 seats and a 36.41% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"11,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"11,2,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"11,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"11,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-45\">TVK (Vijay)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-45\">: Captured a substantial 20.94% of the vote share, though projected at 0 seats<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"11,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"11,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"11,3,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"11,3,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-44\">Naam Tamilar Party (NTK)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-44\">: Holds a 03.88% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"11,3,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"11,4,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"11,4,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"11,4,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-43\">Tough Fight<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-43\">: 14 seats remain too close to call<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"11,4,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"source-inline-chip-container ng-star-inserted\">\u00a0<\/div><h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"12\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Delta Zone<\/b><\/h3><p data-path-to-node=\"13\">The Delta region shows a slight edge for the DMK alliance, though it remains a fierce two-way battle.<\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"14,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"14,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"14,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-42\">DMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-42\">: Projected to win 20 seats with a 38.18% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"14,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"14,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"14,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"14,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-41\">AIADMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-41\">: Projected at 18 seats with a 37.53% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"14,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"14,2,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"14,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"14,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-40\">TVK (Vijay)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-40\">: Secured a 19.34% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"14,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"14,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"14,3,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"14,3,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-39\">Naam Tamilar Party (NTK)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-39\">: Captured a 04.01% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"14,3,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"14,4,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"14,4,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"14,4,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-38\">Tough Fight<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-38\">: 8 seats are marked as a tight contest<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"14,4,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"source-inline-chip-container ng-star-inserted\">\u00a0<\/div><h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"15\"><b data-path-to-node=\"15\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Kongu Zone<\/b><\/h3><p data-path-to-node=\"16\">The AIADMK alliance shows a dominant performance in the Kongu belt, sweeping a majority of the projected seats.<\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"17,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"17,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"17,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-37\">AIADMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-37\">: A commanding lead with 42 seats and a 38.52% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"17,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"17,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"17,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"17,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-36\">DMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-36\">: Trailing with 13 seats and a 34.67% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"17,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"17,2,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"17,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"17,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-35\">TVK (Vijay)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-35\">: Registered its highest regional vote share here at 21.50%<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"17,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"17,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"17,3,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"17,3,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-34\">Naam Tamilar Party (NTK)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-34\">: Holds a 04.00% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"17,3,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"17,4,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"17,4,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"17,4,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-33\">Tough Fight<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-33\">: Only 2 seats remain undecided<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"17,4,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"source-inline-chip-container ng-star-inserted\">\u00a0<\/div><h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"18\"><b data-path-to-node=\"18\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">North Zone<\/b><\/h3><p data-path-to-node=\"19\">The North Zone tilts heavily in favor of the AIADMK alliance in terms of seat conversion.<\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"20,0,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"20,0,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"20,0,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-32\">AIADMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-32\">: Leading with 30 seats and a 36.94% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"20,0,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"20,1,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"20,1,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"20,1,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-31\">DMK +<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-31\">: Projected to secure 12 seats with a 35.38% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"20,1,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"20,2,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"20,2,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"20,2,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-30\">TVK (Vijay)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-30\">: Holds a strong 21.21% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"20,2,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"20,3,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"20,3,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"20,3,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-29\">Naam Tamilar Party (NTK)<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-29\">: Captured a 04.31% vote share<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"20,3,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><p data-path-to-node=\"20,4,1\"><span data-path-to-node=\"20,4,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"20,4,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-28\">Tough Fight<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-28\">: 1 seat is currently too close to call<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"20,4,1,2\">.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"source-inline-chip-container ng-star-inserted\">\u00a0<\/div><h3 style=\"text-align: center;\" data-path-to-node=\"21\"><b data-path-to-node=\"21\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Chennai Zone &amp; Beyond<\/b><\/h3><p id=\"p-rc_c96a9a4876900a45-44\" data-path-to-node=\"22\"><span data-path-to-node=\"22,1\"><span class=\"citation-27\">The FOTN Exit Poll also provides deep, constituency-level insights into the highly scrutinized Chennai Zone, detailing key battlegrounds across Chennai, Chengalpet, and Kancheepuram<\/span><\/span><span data-path-to-node=\"22,3\">.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-a3e135d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"a3e135d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5ff77d5\" data-id=\"5ff77d5\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d30579d elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"d30579d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/790jw1hq0kxy6jk17ll93\/Exit-Poll-Final.pdf?rlkey=uxkg2dw7uhhiagbazlwhj8asb&#038;st=adsmpidi&#038;dl=0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">For Detailed Report<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The &#8220;Fate of Tamil Nadu Exit Polls&#8221; (FOTN) has been officially concluded, and we are ready to reveal<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":496,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[69,34,72,39,67,6,68,5,35,63,41,70,37,66,11,13,38,12,78,79,40,36,59,60,73,71],"class_list":["post-488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-survey-reports","tag-aadhav-arjuna","tag-aiadmk","tag-amit-shah","tag-ammk","tag-annamalai","tag-bjp","tag-bussy-anand","tag-congress","tag-dmk","tag-edappadi-palaniswami","tag-idam-valam","tag-mk-stalin","tag-naam-tamilar-katchi","tag-nainar-nagendran","tag-narendra-modi","tag-nda","tag-pmk","tag-rahul-gandhi","tag-ramadoss","tag-sasikala","tag-spick-media","tag-tamilaga-vettri-kazhagam","tag-tvk","tag-tvk-vijay","tag-tvkvijay","tag-udhayanidhi-stalin"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM.png",1536,1024,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM-300x200.png",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM-768x512.png",640,427,true],"large":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM-1024x683.png",640,427,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM.png",1536,1024,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM.png",1536,1024,false],"morenews-large":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM-825x575.png",825,575,true],"morenews-medium":["https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/ChatGPT-Image-Apr-29-2026-02_53_52-PM-590x410.png",590,410,true]},"author_info":{"display_name":"Spick Media","author_link":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/author\/admin\/"},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/category\/survey-reports\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Survey Reports<\/a>","tag_info":"Survey Reports","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/488","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=488"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/488\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":506,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/488\/revisions\/506"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/496"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=488"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=488"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spickmediagroup.in\/Home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=488"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}