SPICK MEDIA – IDAM VALAM EXIT POLL | AIADMK ALLIANCE AHEAD, DMK CLOSE BEHIND, TVK EMERGES AS KEY DISRUPTOR
The “Fate of Tamil Nadu Exit Polls” (FOTN) has been officially concluded, and we are ready to reveal the projected outcomes for the state’s highly anticipated elections.
Designed and analyzed by the Spick Media Network headquartered in Chennai, this comprehensive survey was conducted jointly with the Idam Valam team. We deployed our extensive network of on-ground researchers between April 23, 2026, and April 27, 2026, to capture the pulse of the electorate.
Survey Scope & Methodology
Total Respondents: 71,447 individuals.
Coverage: Across all constituencies in Tamil Nadu.
Data Points: Constituency-wise breakdown of vote shares and seat projections.
Here is the finalized tally and breakdown across the major regions of Tamil Nadu:
Zone-Wise Final Tally Highlights
South Zone
The South Zone presents a highly competitive landscape with a significant number of seats still hanging in the balance.
AIADMK +: Leading with 20 seats and a 36.32% vote share.
DMK +: Closely following with 17 seats and a 36.41% vote share.
TVK (Vijay): Captured a substantial 20.94% of the vote share, though projected at 0 seats.
Naam Tamilar Party (NTK): Holds a 03.88% vote share.
Tough Fight: 14 seats remain too close to call.
Delta Zone
The Delta region shows a slight edge for the DMK alliance, though it remains a fierce two-way battle.
DMK +: Projected to win 20 seats with a 38.18% vote share.
AIADMK +: Projected at 18 seats with a 37.53% vote share.
TVK (Vijay): Secured a 19.34% vote share.
Naam Tamilar Party (NTK): Captured a 04.01% vote share.
Tough Fight: 8 seats are marked as a tight contest.
Kongu Zone
The AIADMK alliance shows a dominant performance in the Kongu belt, sweeping a majority of the projected seats.
AIADMK +: A commanding lead with 42 seats and a 38.52% vote share.
DMK +: Trailing with 13 seats and a 34.67% vote share.
TVK (Vijay): Registered its highest regional vote share here at 21.50%.
Naam Tamilar Party (NTK): Holds a 04.00% vote share.
Tough Fight: Only 2 seats remain undecided.
North Zone
The North Zone tilts heavily in favor of the AIADMK alliance in terms of seat conversion.
AIADMK +: Leading with 30 seats and a 36.94% vote share.
DMK +: Projected to secure 12 seats with a 35.38% vote share.
TVK (Vijay): Holds a strong 21.21% vote share.
Naam Tamilar Party (NTK): Captured a 04.31% vote share.
Tough Fight: 1 seat is currently too close to call.
Chennai Zone & Beyond
The FOTN Exit Poll also provides deep, constituency-level insights into the highly scrutinized Chennai Zone, detailing key battlegrounds across Chennai, Chengalpet, and Kancheepuram.
